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Market Analysis Stories

Market Analysis

USDA Spins Market with Record Supply-to-Use Ratio

September 15, 2017

Hurricanes were but a mere hiccup for the world and U.S. crops. Instead, USDA spun some record-setting numbers that left the market dizzy.

Market Analysis

Shurley: Cotton Makes a Hard Landing

September 15, 2017

Following USDA’s September numbers, December cotton seems to have landed back in the 69-cent, pre-Harvey area.

Market Analysis

Higher Prices Holding as Winds Keep Blowing

September 10, 2017

An ill wind is blowing amidst the chaotic cotton trading wrought by back to back hurricanes slamming into two of the country’s major cotton producing regions. But which way does the wind blow?

Market Analysis

Post Harvey, 75 Cents Back in Cotton’s Sights

September 2, 2017

It remains to be seen if the greater loss from Harvey will be to cotton quantity or quality. But it likely means a wider trading range, with 75 cents now possible.

Market Analysis

Shurley: Storms and Other Unknowns for September

September 1, 2017

September could be interesting. Loss evaluation from Harvey will still be underway, and all eyes are watching Irma. How will it all impact USDA’s September report…if at all?

Hurricane Harvey Leaves Several Market Scenarios

September 1, 2017

Following Hurricane Harvey’s rampage through East and Coastal Texas, cotton growers face several possible outcomes based on the level of damage to their fields.

Market Watching for Harvey’s Impact on U.S. Crop

August 25, 2017

Hurricane Harvey blew prices to triple digit gains on the week. Now, the market will assess crop damage to see if the storm blew up crop projections as well.

Was USDA Right? U.S. Crop Looking Bigger.

August 18, 2017

The U.S. crop is signaling that it is getting bigger. With nothing more than a good fall, the crop could climb as much as a million bales more than USDA’s August surprise estimate.

Shurley: So Much for 18 Million Bales and Higher Prices

August 14, 2017

If USDA’s September numbers still validate a 20+ million bale crop, prices could slide. If not, the 68-70 cent level – or better – should hold.

USDA Report Stuns Market. Now, Wait for Reality.

August 14, 2017

USDA stunned the market with its August estimate of U.S. cotton production. But remember – history has shown consistent deviation between mid-summer estimates and final harvest realities.

Production, Weather Woes Boosting Market

August 4, 2017

Mother Nature’s recent Texas outburst was rough on cotton fields. But it was enough to boost prices back into the 70s.

Technically Speaking, Pay Attention to Fundamentals

July 28, 2017

With prices holding in a three-cent range, it’s likely time to pay attention to what the market fundamentals and technicals are telling us.

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Market Analysis

Shurley: Demand Is Key to Price Strength and Stability

November 21, 2017

Demand is the key to cotton's future. We still have a way to go, but the outlook has certainly improved.

Market Analysis

U.S. Sales Booming to Meet Bullish Demand

November 17, 2017

Cotton appears to be caught in a battle between supply and supply. And that keeps prices well positioned to stay where they are.

Market Analysis

Increased Cotton Demand Moving the Market

November 11, 2017

A bullish supply demand report for November proves that demand moves markets. And demand for cotton has resurfaced.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Yields, Quality, Consumption Still Rising

November 4, 2017

Reports of high yields, premium quality and growing consumption are keeping prices at the higher end of the trading range.

Market Analysis

India and Frost Combine to Prop Up Market

October 27, 2017

India’s plan to keep more of its cotton for domestic use, plus a potential freeze in West Texas, propped up the market during the past week.

Market Analysis

Bears Growling on Harvest and Demand Challenges

October 22, 2017

Although current trading activity represents a bearish price outlook, Dr. O.A. Cleveland still believes the 65 cent price support will hold. . .even though more experts are abandoning that position.

Market Analysis

Shurley: October Numbers Not As Expected, But Prices Hold

October 18, 2017

USDA’s October production and supply and demand estimates are like apples – pick and choose and you’ll find some numbers you like...and some you won’t.

Market Analysis

Trying to Read the Market: Bearish, Neutral or Bullish?

October 13, 2017

After finding USDA’s October WASDE report initially bearish and somewhat neutral, cotton prices went mildly bullish thinking about stronger demand and the real size of the U.S. and foreign crops.

Market Analysis

Examining Loan Program and Rate Changes for 2017

October 9, 2017

Dr. Don Shurley provides an analysis of what changes in the marketing assistance loan for 2017 could mean for cotton growers.

Market Analysis

Prices Still Sideways as Bearish Moods Grow

October 6, 2017

The market is watching weather and waiting for USDA’s October report. But bearish signs are starting to surface in some segments.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Market in Hang On and Wait Mode

October 1, 2017

Cotton prices are holding without clear direction right now, as the market continues to watch USDA projections and harvest conditions for answers.