Market Analysis Stories

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Market Unhappy with September Estimates

September 15, 2016

Whatever the market was expecting from the September WASDE report, it didn’t get. So prices reacted accordingly – down.

Market Analysis

Bulls Feed on Cotton Trade Opportunities

September 12, 2016

Although U.S. and world crops are slightly larger than originally estimated, production difficulties in Pakistan and other countries will continue to boost world cotton trade and add support to the market.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: The Bulls Battle Back

September 6, 2016

The December contract again became the darling of the bulls, who won the week after having their backs slammed against the wall.

Market Analysis

The Dog Days of August – and Cotton – Are Upon Us

August 29, 2016

The Dog Days of August have arrived. That gives Dr. O.A. Cleveland time to reflect on the market, Egyptian cotton, and the offer of a polyester shirt.

Market Analysis

Bears Impact Market, But Long Term Still Bullish

August 22, 2016

The near term technical perspective for the cotton market has turned a bit bearish. But, the longer term outlook remains bullish.

Shurley on Cotton: Prices Slip Under Pressure

August 15, 2016

The sudden jump in cotton prices was recently referred to as “Christmas in July.” Well, the new wears off eventually – even for Christmas gifts.

Market Holds On in Face of Neutral Report

August 14, 2016

USDA’s August cotton reports were neutral-to-supportive, keeping the 70-78 cent trading range in place as the major trading channel.

Market Strong, But Looking for Answers on China, India

August 5, 2016

This market has 80 cents written all over it. But it’s also calling for a closer look at reported cotton stocks in China and India.

Cleveland: Feed This Hungry Cotton Market Now!

August 1, 2016

The cotton market is hungry and wants to be fed. It’s time for growers to move their price fixations up and sell it some cotton!

Mother Nature Now in Charge of the Market

July 24, 2016

At this point in the crop production year, be assured that Mother Nature will still have the major say with respect to cotton prices.

Cleveland: USDA Turns the Bulls Loose

July 18, 2016

Say it again: Technicals are the leading indicator of fundamentals; they kept telling us higher prices were coming.

Shurley on Cotton: It’s Christmas in July!

July 13, 2016

The calendar says July. But for cotton growers, it may as well be “Merry Christmas.”

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Market Analysis

Prices Hold as U.S. Quality Cotton Moves to Market

December 2, 2016

U.S. crop quality is essentially the highest on record. While mills may be facing potentially higher prices, they are getting a bargain on their U.S. purchases.

Market Analysis

Market Set for Shift to March Contract

November 21, 2016

The market is expected to rally higher early in the week as shorts buy their way out. Grower prices will then be based on the March contract, as December will be its expiry period.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Closing Out 2016, First Look at 2017

November 21, 2016

The 2016 U.S. crop may still be somewhat of a question mark, but USDA’s November numbers provided clarity on a few things – the crop got smaller in some areas as expected, but still got bigger overall.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Volatility Reinforces Market Fireworks

November 11, 2016

The cotton market continues to show extreme volatility, as mills and speculative funds attempt to fix prices before the expiry of the December contract. The same fireworks are predicted for the next two weeks.

Market Analysis

Watch for Volatility as December Contract Period Ends

November 4, 2016

There are only a few trading days left before March becomes the lead spot month. The best remaining pricing opportunity for growers should be within this time frame, which could be active and volatile.

Market Analysis

Potential Supply Squeeze Could Push Market Higher

October 31, 2016

With December first notice day only three weeks away, mill buying and other potential squeeze factors could push the December contract to 75 cents and beyond.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Prices Healthier; China’s Buying

October 21, 2016

After jumping higher on the heels of a bullish world supply demand report, the surge in cotton prices was halted at the 72 cent resistance level. But China is back in buying mode, snapping up nearly 200,000 bales.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Prices Showing Stability and Potential

October 17, 2016

Many growers want to know when and if the market will get back above 70 cents and provide options to enhance marketing positions. Several factors now in play could give them that opportunity.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Market Weakens as Prices Begin to Slide

October 9, 2016

The market is showing signs of vulnerability, as cotton appears headed back to the mid-60s.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: What Goes Up, Must Readjust

September 30, 2016

Last week’s higher prices limited export sales, and prices had to move lower this week, back down to mill offers.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Bulls Ride Prices into the Mid-70s

September 23, 2016

Two weeks ago, we suggested that the USDA supply demand report would be neutral and the market would drop, yet only to reverse to and jump higher. It jumped this week. Wildly higher.