Market Analysis Stories

Market Analysis

Cleveland: All Eyes on USDA Planting Intentions

March 28, 2016

As prices remain unchanged and China remains quiet, the cotton market awaits the USDA planting intentions report for possible good news.

Market Analysis

China Still Sits Heavy on the Market

March 21, 2016

Chinese reserve stocks still sit as a heavy hat on cotton prices, providing little reason to break above the 59-cent price resistance.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Quality Premiums Are Coming

March 13, 2016

The quality premium for U.S. cotton has been holding steady, but improvement is on the horizon. Hold for it.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: No Moral Victories in the Market

March 7, 2016

The cotton market is famous for giving second chances, but it also takes no prisoners. We are not talking horseshoes here.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Prices “Lost In Space”

March 7, 2016

Much like the space family in the popular 1960s TV show “Lost in Space,” cotton, too, has been under a “meteor shower” of negative news and overall bearish market sentiment.

Cotton Prices Appear Range-Bound in Near Term

February 23, 2016

Cotton prices are projected to remain range-bound in the near term due to large stocks held by China and depressed prices for all agricultural commodities.

Market Still Bearish, as Prices Tick Upward

February 22, 2016

The New York March contract settled one tick above 60 cents, helping avoid the deep bearishness, but keeping technical signals weak.

Shurley on Cotton: No Valentines for Cotton

February 16, 2016

February has thus far been a brutal month for cotton prices.

Cleveland: Cotton Now in Clint Eastwood Mode

February 12, 2016

Right out of Clint Eastwood movies, the cotton market is following the script just as written last month...as well as his spaghetti westerns.

Cleveland: Bullish Reports, Bearish Responses

February 7, 2016

Absence of demand for cotton, among other factors, is sending mixed signals to the market.

Cleveland: Feeling Bearish and Blue

February 1, 2016

Loss of cotton demand and a looming move of Chinese stocks has even O.A. Cleveland saying, “This hurts.”

Shurley on Cotton: Prices Still Low, but Find Stability

January 25, 2016

After recently threatening the 60-61 cent range, prices now seem to have found a little support and – dare we say – upward momentum.

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Market Analysis

Mother Nature Now in Charge of the Market

July 24, 2016

At this point in the crop production year, be assured that Mother Nature will still have the major say with respect to cotton prices.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: USDA Turns the Bulls Loose

July 18, 2016

Say it again: Technicals are the leading indicator of fundamentals; they kept telling us higher prices were coming.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: It’s Christmas in July!

July 13, 2016

The calendar says July. But for cotton growers, it may as well be “Merry Christmas.”

Market Analysis

Watching Bulls, Bears and Fundamentals

July 11, 2016

Fundamentals rule in the long run, but technicals provide the roadmap. Just be sure to keep an eye on the bulls and bears.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: A Fun Week of Bulls, Bears and Brexit

July 5, 2016

The cotton market experienced a fun, exciting week as trading focused on strong bullish and bearish fundamentals – and little to no impact from Brexit.

Market Analysis

Shurley: Acreage Numbers Could Challenge Range-Bound Prices

July 1, 2016

In light of the June 30 USDA acres planted numbers, it would have to be considered good news if cotton’s “range bound” prices can remain at or above 64 cents.

Market Analysis

Market Fundamentals Positive, but Not Yet Bullish

June 20, 2016

July prices are still bumping into resistance. But there are enough positive fundamentals in the market to provide a bit of bullish hope.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Thoughts Ahead of the Acreage Report

June 16, 2016

There’s usually speculation on the June USDA Acreage number and how it might compare to the March Prospective Plantings number. So far, it's all quiet.

Market Analysis

Commodity and Mill Actions Pushing Cotton Higher

June 10, 2016

It was a pretty good week for cotton, as fund money continued to flow to all commodities, and mills began to ease their price expectations higher.

Market Analysis

Mills, Speculators and Weather Driving Cotton Prices

June 7, 2016

Mother Nature’s recent whims are driving new money into cotton, as mills come to grips with rising prices and price fixations, which fuel buying by hedge fund long speculators.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: A Watchful Summer Lies Ahead

June 7, 2016

As planting season ends and summer approaches, the challenge for growers will be if, and when, to take price protection – and, if so, how to do it.