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Market Analysis Stories

Market Analysis

Is Market Opening Window for “Made in U.S.” Revival?

December 12, 2016

USDA’s seemingly bearish December supply demand report failed to break cotton’s upside momentum, presenting a small window to potentially revive the “Made in U.S.” theme.

Market Analysis

Prices Hold as U.S. Quality Cotton Moves to Market

December 2, 2016

U.S. crop quality is essentially the highest on record. While mills may be facing potentially higher prices, they are getting a bargain on their U.S. purchases.

Market Analysis

Market Set for Shift to March Contract

November 21, 2016

The market is expected to rally higher early in the week as shorts buy their way out. Grower prices will then be based on the March contract, as December will be its expiry period.

don shurley
Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Closing Out 2016, First Look at 2017

November 21, 2016

The 2016 U.S. crop may still be somewhat of a question mark, but USDA’s November numbers provided clarity on a few things – the crop got smaller in some areas as expected, but still got bigger overall.

OA Cleveland
Market Analysis

Cleveland: Volatility Reinforces Market Fireworks

November 11, 2016

The cotton market continues to show extreme volatility, as mills and speculative funds attempt to fix prices before the expiry of the December contract. The same fireworks are predicted for the next two weeks.

Watch for Volatility as December Contract Period Ends

November 4, 2016

There are only a few trading days left before March becomes the lead spot month. The best remaining pricing opportunity for growers should be within this time frame, which could be active and volatile.

Potential Supply Squeeze Could Push Market Higher

October 31, 2016

With December first notice day only three weeks away, mill buying and other potential squeeze factors could push the December contract to 75 cents and beyond.

Cleveland: Prices Healthier; China’s Buying

October 21, 2016

After jumping higher on the heels of a bullish world supply demand report, the surge in cotton prices was halted at the 72 cent resistance level. But China is back in buying mode, snapping up nearly 200,000 bales.

Shurley on Cotton: Prices Showing Stability and Potential

October 17, 2016

Many growers want to know when and if the market will get back above 70 cents and provide options to enhance marketing positions. Several factors now in play could give them that opportunity.

Cleveland: Market Weakens as Prices Begin to Slide

October 9, 2016

The market is showing signs of vulnerability, as cotton appears headed back to the mid-60s.

Cleveland: What Goes Up, Must Readjust

September 30, 2016

Last week’s higher prices limited export sales, and prices had to move lower this week, back down to mill offers.

Cleveland: Bulls Ride Prices into the Mid-70s

September 23, 2016

Two weeks ago, we suggested that the USDA supply demand report would be neutral and the market would drop, yet only to reverse to and jump higher. It jumped this week. Wildly higher.

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Market Analysis

Strong Market Support Pushes Prices Higher

April 21, 2017

Cotton prices made a run higher this past week, as export sales and inquiries continue to provide support to the market.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Exports Continue Upward Trend

April 12, 2017

USDA’s April supply and demand estimates increased U.S. cotton exports for the 2016 crop year to 14 million bales – a surprising upward jump, but one that is certainly justified.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Strong Exports Driving World Stocks Lower

April 10, 2017

Strong export sales and brisk shipments of U.S. cotton should continue for at least 2-4 more months, helping to lower world cotton stocks and maintain prices in the 70s.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: How Do Increased Acres Impact Prices?

April 3, 2017

The market anticipated an acreage increase for cotton, and USDA says the number is roughly 350,000 acres more than most expected. How does this impact the market and why?

Market Analysis

No Surprises When It Comes to Acreage or Exports

March 31, 2017

U.S. cotton acreage predictions in USDA’s 2017 Prospective Plantings report were not surprising. Neither were the export sale and delivery numbers that the U.S. continues to enjoy.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Market Still Looking for Its Top

March 26, 2017

The market is now showing a tendency to sell off and lose daily gains as the trading day ends. It’s really doing nothing more than still trying to pick its top.

Market Analysis

Cotton Prices Reach Upper Third of Historical Range

March 17, 2017

The cotton bull made another impressive stand on the past week, as cotton prices continue to hold in the upper one-third of its historical price range.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: New Crop Strength and Outlook

March 13, 2017

Four factors are driving the new crop strength and outlook for cotton in 2017.

Market Analysis

It Bears Repeating – Price New Crop Now!

March 13, 2017

Two things to keep in mind: If you like the price enough to plant cotton, then like the price enough to sell some of it. And, December futures are expected to move 10-15 cents lower.

Market Analysis

Grab Hold. The Bulls Are Running!

March 6, 2017

The cotton bull, with freshly sharpened and longer horns, has broken out and is trying to push old crop May and July contracts above 80 cents.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Of Export Sales, USDA Numbers and BCI

February 27, 2017

Dr. O.A. Cleveland praises U.S. cotton exports, muses about USDA predictions and calculations, and ponders the role of Better Cotton Initiative in the U.S.