Market Analysis Stories

Market Analysis

Cotton Market is Ripe for a Rally

December 5, 2014

Current price consolidation activity has helped uncover excellent demand. A short covering rally could possibly be triggered sooner than later.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Market Showing Signs of Life

December 5, 2014

After closing the previous 14 sessions in a very tight price band, March cotton started to break out to the upside, boosted by a firmer cash market and possible spec buying.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: New Round of Weakness Sets In

November 25, 2014

Merchants are now pricing cotton basis the March 2015 futures contract. But March futures – and all prices – are showing a new round of weakness.

Market Analysis

I Mean It This Time. The Bottom Is In.

November 24, 2014

I said it at 61/62 cents, so I’d best say it for 57 cents. The bottom is in.

Plexus: Spec Movement Reveals Downside of Sideways Market

November 17, 2014

The recent trading action that pushed cotton prices into the 50s is linked to the interplay of spec short covering and spec long liquidation, which should keep the market in its current sideways trend.

Shurley on Cotton: November Numbers Mostly Neutral, Prices Hold

November 11, 2014

USDA’s November crop production and supply/demand numbers are little changed from the October numbers.

Prices Still on the Path to Nowhere

November 7, 2014

Cotton prices continued their path to nowhere and are expected to continue the same back and forth trading action, reinforcing the thought that the market has bottomed out.

Prices Hint That the Market Bottom Is In

November 3, 2014

Goblins may continue to haunt the cotton market past the Halloween holidays. But the market is giving more signals that the bottom is in.

With WTO Brazil Settled, Cotton Casts a Wary Eye on Chinese Policy

October 31, 2014

With the conclusion of the WTO Brazil case, the U.S. cotton industry can bring a renewed focus to the challenges ahead, coming from a familiar source.

Shurley on Cotton: Lackluster Week Closes on a High Note

October 27, 2014

An end of week uptick closed the market up 81 points from the previous week. But the longer-term direction is still sideways, with a range of mostly 62 to 67 cents.

Same Song, Same Tune – Market Sings the Low-to-Mid 60s Blues

October 24, 2014

The same record that has been spinning for weeks is still playing. The 61 to 62 cent price resistance holds firm, attempts to close above 65 cents continue to be thwarted, and the potential for a short covering rally lingers strong in the background.

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Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Not Surprisingly, Market Improvement Slows Down

March 2, 2015

The market is still full of uncertainties, and this recent slowdown might just be a signal that the market needs to take a breather.

Market Analysis

Quality Continues to Drive Cotton’s “Joyful Ride”

February 21, 2015

Cotton’s joyful ride continues, as prices have pressed the 65 cent level, driven by demand for quality machine harvested cotton.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Time for the Market to Rest and Regroup?

February 20, 2015

Look for the market pull back a bit and regroup over the coming weeks. But don’t worry. It’s just taking a breather.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Buying Pressure Should Keep Cotton Moving Up

February 18, 2015

Buying pressure over the coming months should help maintain the current upward move for cotton.

Market Analysis

Market Faces Long and Crooked Row to Higher Prices

February 17, 2015

The market has a very long and crooked row to hoe on its path to higher prices. However, it is sending multiple signals that the 57 cent resistance level did hold, and prices can now begin to ease higher.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Upward Progress Finally Being Made

February 11, 2015

Prices should be nearer the bottom end of their likely range. If you’re going to plant cotton in 2015, be patient and wait for possible rallies this summer.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Market in Perfect Shape for a Short Squeeze

February 10, 2015

Since starting to move higher, the March contract has gained more than 450 points and has moved through some key resistance levels. Buyers are now firmly in control of the market.

Market Analysis

Market is Scrambling for Quality Cotton

February 7, 2015

The market is plowing new territory each week as mills search for quality cotton. And they’re starting to get desperate.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Market Maneuvering Into an “Interesting Position”

February 3, 2015

Continued strong demand for U.S. cotton has lifted the futures market to a two-week high, helping to maneuver the market into an interesting position.

Market Analysis

Will the U.S. Sell Out of Cotton?

February 2, 2015

World consumption is trending up, and the market is suggesting that the U.S. will “sell out” of cotton this year if prices do not increase.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Prices Struggle as New Round of Weakness Sets In

January 26, 2015

For the fourth time since last spring, prices have again failed to hold support as new negative forces overtake the market. The decline in prices is concerning, but is offset somewhat by a strong basis and premiums for quality and an increasing LDP/MLG.