Marketing Stories

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Prices Show Faint Signs of Life

August 25, 2014

Prices (Dec14 futures) appear to have turned trend up, at least for the short-term. But, they're likely to meet resistance around 68 cents, meaning we may have some rocky ground to plow in order to return to prices starting with a 7.

Market Analysis

Market Bumps Up Over World Supply Worries

August 23, 2014

Concern over the amount of cotton available outside of China continues to dominate trading.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Positive Market Moves in Past Week Ease Bearish Pattern

August 22, 2014

December cotton finally broke out to the upside in the past week on expanding volume and rising open interest, with the August 21 close marking the highest level in four weeks.

Market Analysis

“Market Neutral” Report Keeps Bears at Bay – For Now

August 14, 2014

What many considered a very bearish August Supply/Demand Report has been digested by market forces and determined to be market neutral. Most likely, the 62 cent price floor has developed enough depth to protect the price from sliding any lower.

Marketing

Cotton Board Approves Funding for Cotton Incorporated, Elects New Officers

August 13, 2014

The Cotton Board voted to recommend Cotton Incorporated’s proposed 2015 budget of $80 million to the Secretary of Agriculture.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: August Numbers Likely Neutral to Bearish

August 12, 2014

The August USDA crop production and supply/demand numbers are best described as a mixed bag. Increases in U.S. exports and World Use are good news, as is the fact that ending stocks didn’t increase.

U.S. Production, Exports and Ending Stocks Increase in Past Month, Says USDA

August 12, 2014

USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for August show forecasted increases in production, exports and ending stocks for U.S. cotton.

Chinese Mills Eyeing U.S. Cotton as Prices Near Consolidation

August 8, 2014

Cotton prices attempted to consolidate a bit this week in the face of weather problems around the globe, as well as Chinese mills seeking imports of high grade cotton.

Shurley on Cotton – Prices Again Try to Consolidate

August 8, 2014

What will it take for prices to find a level of support low enough that the market sentiment will finally say “enough” and turn the outlook more bullish than bearish?

ICAC – Convergence of Cotton and Polyester Prices Should Improve Demand for Cotton

August 7, 2014

With the prices for cotton and polyester converging on the world market, the International Cotton Advisory Committee expects world consumption of cotton to increase five percent to 24.5 million tons in 2014/15.

Texas Rain, Monsoons and Cotton Prices All Linked in Bearish Market

July 31, 2014

Market technicals suggest the 60 to 62 cent level will hold for prices in the very short run – depending, in large part, on weather patterns for Texas and India.

China: Still the Elephant in Cotton’s Room

July 29, 2014

In the world of cotton, China is still the enormous elephant in the room.

Shurley on Cotton: Prices Attempt to Stabilize, But Still Show Weakness

July 28, 2014

Over the past two weeks, prices for Dec14 futures have continued to slide, but tried to stabilize in the 67 to 68.5 cents range. In an extended narrow trading range like this, there is usually not much pressure/interest to push prices either direction on current news. Until July 24, it seems.

Latest News

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: New Round of Weakness Sets In

November 25, 2014

Merchants are now pricing cotton basis the March 2015 futures contract. But March futures – and all prices – are showing a new round of weakness.

Market Analysis

I Mean It This Time. The Bottom Is In.

November 24, 2014

I said it at 61/62 cents, so I’d best say it for 57 cents. The bottom is in.

Promotion

Sourcing USA Summit Strengthens Global Partnerships

November 21, 2014

The recent COTTON USA Sourcing USA Summit brought representatives from global sourcing companies together with the U.S. cotton industry to discuss the advantages of U.S.-grown cotton.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Spec Movement Reveals Downside of Sideways Market

November 17, 2014

The recent trading action that pushed cotton prices into the 50s is linked to the interplay of spec short covering and spec long liquidation, which should keep the market in its current sideways trend.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: November Numbers Mostly Neutral, Prices Hold

November 11, 2014

USDA’s November crop production and supply/demand numbers are little changed from the October numbers.

Market Analysis

Prices Still on the Path to Nowhere

November 7, 2014

Cotton prices continued their path to nowhere and are expected to continue the same back and forth trading action, reinforcing the thought that the market has bottomed out.

News

Texas Tech Program Wins Cotton Inc. Grant

November 3, 2014

Students in Texas Tech’s Retail Management program will get an in-depth look at cotton in their curriculum, thanks to an educational grant from Cotton Incorporated.

Market Analysis

Prices Hint That the Market Bottom Is In

November 3, 2014

Goblins may continue to haunt the cotton market past the Halloween holidays. But the market is giving more signals that the bottom is in.

Marketing

Don’t Hate the Futures. Hate the Fundamentals.

November 1, 2014

Cotton producers could learn a lot from – of all things – the onion market.

Market Analysis

With WTO Brazil Settled, Cotton Casts a Wary Eye on Chinese Policy

October 31, 2014

With the conclusion of the WTO Brazil case, the U.S. cotton industry can bring a renewed focus to the challenges ahead, coming from a familiar source.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Lackluster Week Closes on a High Note

October 27, 2014

An end of week uptick closed the market up 81 points from the previous week. But the longer-term direction is still sideways, with a range of mostly 62 to 67 cents.