Marketing Stories

Market Analysis

Plexus: Price Drop Pushes Market Back Into Sideways Mode

January 5, 2015

Recent price drops erased all gains from the previous nine sessions in one fell swoop, moving the market back into the 58-61 cents sideways range from which it tried to escape.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Looking Back and Looking Ahead

December 24, 2014

It’s not news that 2014 turned out to be a disappointing year for many growers. I’m somewhat optimistic on the price outlook for 2015, but I don’t see much reason to start contracting for anything yet.

Market Analysis

Current Market Level Holding Its Ground

December 19, 2014

The market’s ability to hold its current level has overshadowed the fact that cash prices around the world have firmed a bit, signaling a stronger basis position for most growths.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Slight Upward Bias in a Sideways Market

December 19, 2014

The market appears to be holding in a sideways to slightly higher range between 59 and 63 cents. But don’t rule out spikes to higher levels on spec short covering.

Market Analysis

Market Bumps Up on News of Smaller U.S. Crop Numbers

December 15, 2014

USDA’s lower projections for U.S. cotton production should strengthen the current global demand shift in favor of U.S. cotton. The implication is a relative higher price.

Cotton Market is Ripe for a Rally

December 5, 2014

Current price consolidation activity has helped uncover excellent demand. A short covering rally could possibly be triggered sooner than later.

Plexus: Market Showing Signs of Life

December 5, 2014

After closing the previous 14 sessions in a very tight price band, March cotton started to break out to the upside, boosted by a firmer cash market and possible spec buying.

Shurley on Cotton: New Round of Weakness Sets In

November 25, 2014

Merchants are now pricing cotton basis the March 2015 futures contract. But March futures – and all prices – are showing a new round of weakness.

I Mean It This Time. The Bottom Is In.

November 24, 2014

I said it at 61/62 cents, so I’d best say it for 57 cents. The bottom is in.

Sourcing USA Summit Strengthens Global Partnerships

November 21, 2014

The recent COTTON USA Sourcing USA Summit brought representatives from global sourcing companies together with the U.S. cotton industry to discuss the advantages of U.S.-grown cotton.

Plexus: Spec Movement Reveals Downside of Sideways Market

November 17, 2014

The recent trading action that pushed cotton prices into the 50s is linked to the interplay of spec short covering and spec long liquidation, which should keep the market in its current sideways trend.

Shurley on Cotton: November Numbers Mostly Neutral, Prices Hold

November 11, 2014

USDA’s November crop production and supply/demand numbers are little changed from the October numbers.

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Market Analysis

Cleveland: “Pickable” Bolls Unlikely from Late Texas Blooms

August 31, 2015

The time has passed to expect any of today’s blooms to make a “pickable” boll on the High Plains. While I hope every single one of them will be picked, do not expect many to make it to the basket.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: Where Does This Wild Season Go From Here?

August 27, 2015

Cotton’s wild ride continues, thanks to a constant barrage of economic and policy forces.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Amid Turmoil, Quality Still Drives the Market

August 24, 2015

Cotton had a remarkably positive week, considering its gains in the wake of a global meltdown of commodities and equities.

Market Analysis

Plexus: Market Still Promising, But Keep an Eye on Global Financial Issues

August 21, 2015

Since August 12, the market has gained nearly 600 points, which is impressive considering what is going on in other commodities. But financial problems in key emerging markets could dampen demand – and prices.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Bullish USDA Report Paints Brighter Price Outlook

August 17, 2015

Market gains of the past week announce another charge at 70 cents, leaving behind a life-of-contract low in December and painting a rosier price outlook for the out months.

Promotion

Cotton Board Recommends $76 Million for 2016 Research and Promotion

August 14, 2015

The Cotton Board has voted to recommend $76 million to fund the cotton industry’s Research and Promotion Program for 2016.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: On the Ropes, But Trying to Hold On

August 12, 2015

The past few weeks have not been kind to cotton. But new USDA crop reports may act like the referee stepping in to stop the damage just in time.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Prices Seek New Floor Ahead of USDA Reports

August 10, 2015

We had long held that the 62 to 63 cent support would hold, but the market corrected us once again.

Market Analysis

Dog Days of August Keep Market on a Lazy Pace

July 31, 2015

In the absence of a weather event in the near turn, the dog days of August will keep this low volatility market backing and filling at a very slow pace.

Market Analysis

Cleveland: Market Movement Still Stuck in the Mud

July 24, 2015

It looks as if the cotton market is frozen in time, and some teeth may have to be pulled in order to get the market moving again.

Market Analysis

Shurley on Cotton: The Path to 70 Cents Is Still Negotiable, but Rocky

July 24, 2015

The goal of 70 cents is still possible, but each passing day likely lowers the odds that we can get there. We just need to make sure we know what our alternatives are and act accordingly.