Global Cotton Consumption Down in 2010/11
July 5, 2011 World cotton consumption is estimated at 114 million bales in 2010/11, 3 percent lower than in 2009/10, despite firm global economic growth, the International Cotton Advisory says in its latest report.
Demand from spinning mills was strong in the first half of this season, but is now much weaker. Spinners, faced with high prices of cotton and difficulties to access credit on the one side, and declining prices of cotton yarn on the other side, have reduced their activity. Stocks of cotton yarn have accumulated at many mills. Prices of chemical fibers have remained much lower than cotton prices, encouraging an increased switch to chemical fibers at the spinning level. Cotton mill use is expected to rise by 3 percent to 116 million bales in 2011/12, driven by projected global economic growth and boosted by increased production, but moderated by relatively high cotton prices and competition from chemical fibers.
World cotton production is expected to increase by 11 percent to 126 million bales in 2011/12, driven by the high cotton prices received by farmers in 2010/11. Production will grow in most large producing countries, with the exception of the United States.
Global cotton trade is projected up by 5 percent to 37 million bales in 2011/12, fueled by larger production and consumption. Imports by China are expected to increase by 24 percent to 3.3 million tons, assuming a rebound in mill use and a rebuilding of stocks from historically low levels. The increase in exports will be driven by Brazil and Australia, while U.S. exports could decrease due to reduced exportable supplies.
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