ICAC: 2011/12 Will See Record Production
March 8, 2011 World cotton area is projected to rise by 7% in 2011/12 to nearly 89 million acres, the largest in 17 years, in response to record prices in 2010/11. Farmers are expected to expand cotton area in 2011/12 in all producing countries, said the International Cotton Advisory Committee on March 1.
World cotton production is projected to increase by 9 percent to a record exceeding 127 million bales, Rising cotton supplies will feed rising demand in 2011/12. However, although prices are expected to decline from current record levels, it is likely that prices will stay substantially higher than the average of 60 cents per pound that prevailed during the past decade.
Higher prices, and competition from chemical fibers, are expected to limit growth in mill use during 2011/12 to 3 percent to 124 million bales. The largest increases in mill use are projected for India, China, Pakistan and Turkey.
World cotton prices reached new records during February 2011. A limited supply, robust demand and depreciation of U.S dollar may have caused the surge in prices. The very scarce uncommitted supply as of 2011 may provide strong pressure on prices and cause increased volatility through the rest of the season. The Cotlook A Index reached a record of 233.5 cents per pound on February 18, 2011, and averaged 147 cents per pound during the first seven months of 2010/11, as compared to 77.5 cents per pound during 2009/10.
The New York futures contract for March 2011 delivery rose from 77 cents per pound on August 2, 2010 to a record of 205 cents per pound on February 28, 2011.
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