Ramkumar: Indian Mills Value American Cotton’s Quality and Reliability
July 2, 2026 India’s appetite for imported cotton is growing, while cost and the need for quality fiber will influence its imports.
China and India are both leading cotton and textile producers, while cotton-made goods from India are a major export item for India.
India’s cotton demand depends on the macroeconomic picture, trade agreements with major importers like the United States, the EU, and the United Kingdom, as well as its domestic consumption. In terms of dependency on imported cotton, as is the case with China, Vietnam, Bangladesh, and Turkey, India needs cotton with high quality primarily for its fine count spinning catering to home textiles and export markets.
India imports about 9% of its total cotton consumption, compared to 16-17% by China. The need for cost-competitive quality cotton gives opportunity for cotton exporting countries like the United States, Brazil, and Australia to proactively engage with India.
While India’s cotton production can meet its consumption, the need for higher quality and higher realization in spinning necessitates importing cotton. An increase in demand for cotton and a shortfall in its production due to weather and insects can impact cotton prices and demand.
Aruppukkottai, India-based Jayalakshmi Textiles has been blending about 20% or more of imported cotton to spin fine-count yarns. “Lower trash content in imported cotton from the United States is a convincing aspect provided they could procure at a competitive price,” stated Velmurugan Shanmugam, general manager at Jayalakshmi Textiles, which is a 100% fine count cotton spinning mill. This mill consumes about 4000 bales (170 Kgs) of cotton monthly, and the need for high-quality cotton imports provides opportunities for cotton exporters.
This has been the case since February, when the demand for textiles started to increase due to the United States Supreme Court ruling on IEEPA as illegal, and when Chinese textile exports started to increase. China, in turn, had to import cotton yarns from India, which put pressure on prices and cotton availability. After the surge in demand started settling, the late start of the monsoon in India during this Kharif planting season is being considered as a major influencing factor in cotton demand and price.
India started the monsoon season with a 42% deficit, which in general is not a favorable situation for agriculture. But it may not influence cotton as much as rice, cereals, and sugarcane. Farmers in India might switch from high-water-demanding crops such as pulses and rice to cotton. This possibility needs to be taken into consideration, which will influence pricing and availability.
Indian cotton scenario will determine the global market and futures, stated Kaushik Gnanasekar, Research Analyst at Mumbai-based Commtrendz, a commodity research and analysis firm. Late monsoon is being talked about in the agricultural sector, which is hoped to push commodity prices upward, which, in general, is true. “In the Indian context, greater influence will be on food crops sown in the Kharif season such as pulses and sugarcane,“ added Kaushik Gnanasekar.
It all depends on El Niño, which is already reflected in the late start of the monsoon this year, stated Gnanasekar Thiagarajan, Director, Commtrendz. Given that monsoon has picked up in cotton-growing areas such as Karnataka and Maharashtra, Gnanasekar Thiagarajan predicts that the new crop in India (October 2026-September 2027) may be above 320 lakh bales (170 Kgs each). In his conservative estimate, he opined that the cotton crop will be more than last year, as against the deficit projection based on the monsoon pattern.
Another important influencing factor is the ensuing trade deal between India and the United States, which is expected to include procurement of agricultural products at certain quantity levels. This deal will be favorable to cotton as it is not a food crop and will not be affected by non-tariff barriers such as GMO restrictions. Indian cotton crop is 90-95% GMO, and hence it makes it convenient to add cotton to the trade equation. Furthermore, Indian spinning industry organizations like The South India Mills’ Association demand duty-free import of cotton to stay competitive against Bangladesh.
In a recent gathering in Washington, DC, U. S. Ambassador to India Sergio Gor stated that only 1-2% of the deal is yet to be negotiated and the deal should be sealed soon. Cotton is going to be an important player in the trade between the two nations as United States wants to increase total trade from the current level of US$220 billion to US$ 500 billion in the short-medium term.
Many factors, such as a win-win U.S.-India trade deal, India’s need for quality cotton, particularly for spinning 50s Ne and above, and campaigns about environmental friendliness by global cotton organizations like Cotton Incorporated, should influence cotton in a positive direction.
India is an important market that the global cotton and textile sectors should pay close attention.
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