USDA Raises Production Estimate to 18.84 Million Bales

In its September crop report, USDA estimated a 2010/11 U.S. cotton crop of 18.84 million bales, up 310,000 bales from the August report. 

Upland production was estimated at 18.34 million bales and extra long staple (ELS) production at 498,000 bales. 

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Harvested area was estimated at 10.77 million acres, implying a non-harvested area of 265,000 acres based on USDA’s revised planted acreage number. The resulting abandonment rate is roughly 2.40 percent. The national average yield per harvested acre was estimated to be roughly 839 pounds, 13 pounds more than the five-year average.

Planted area for 2010-11 was raised 129,000 acres from USDA’s June acreage report. Planted acres in the Southeast were raised 77,000 acres from June. Mid-South planted acres were raised 50,000 acres from the June report. Total upland planted acres in the Southwest were decreased by 19,000 acres. Upland planted acres in the West were increased 21,000 acres from the June report. ELS planted area was unchanged from the June report.

The Southeast crop is estimated at 4.22 million bales. Expected harvested area is 2.58 million acres and the regional average yield is 783 pounds, nine pounds less than the five-year average for the region. 

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In the Mid-South, expected production is 3.74 million bales. Harvested area is estimated to be 1.91 million acres with an expected yield of 940 pounds per harvested acre, 25 pounds more than the five-year average for the that region. 

The Southwest Upland crop is estimated at 9.32 million bales. Expected harvested area is 5.71 million acres and the regional average yield is 783 pounds, 68 pounds more than their five-year average of 715 pounds per harvested acre. 

Upland production in the West is an estimated 1.07 million bales. Expected harvested area is 359,000 acres and the regional average yield is 1,431 pounds, 81 pounds more than the region’s five-year average.

The ELS crop is an estimated 498,000 bales. Harvested area is pegged at 207,000 acres with an average yield of 1,154 pounds per harvested acre, 91 pounds less than the five-year average.
 

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